Estimating Marginal Returns to Education

1. By:	Pedro Carneiro James J. Heckman Edward J. Vytlacil
   URL:	http://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16474&r=ltv
   This paper estimates the marginal returns to college for individuals induced to enroll in college by different marginal policy changes. The recent instrumental variables literature seeks to estimate this parameter, but in general it does so only under strong assumptions that are tested and found wanting. We show how to utilize economic theory and local instrumental variables estimators to estimate the effect of marginal policy changes. Our empirical analysis shows that returns are higher for individuals with values of unobservables that make them more likely to attend college. We contrast the returns to well-defined marginal policy changes with IV estimates of the return to schooling. Some marginal policy changes inducing students into college produce very low returns.
   JEL:	J31

---

This nep–ltv issue is ©2010 by Maximo Rossi. It is provided as is without any express or implied warranty. It may be freely redistributed in whole or in part for any purpose. If distributed in part, it must include this copyright notice. It may not be sold, or placed in something else for sale.

General information on the NEP project can be found at http://nep.repec.org/. For comments please write to the director of NEP, Marco Novarese at < director @ nep point repec point org >.

_______________________________________________
nep-ltv mailing list
nep-ltv@lists.repec.org
http://lists.repec.org/mailman/listinfo/nep-ltv